Convenience Big Store: Atlantic tropical cyclone chances are 70%. Here’s where.

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Could we see the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season this week?

Are we about to see the formation this week of Andrea, the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season?

The National Hurricane Center on Monday was watching an area of low atmospheric pressure in the North Atlantic Ocean that forecasters were giving a 70% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.

"Satellite images indicate that disorganized showers and thunderstorms are displaced to the east of an area of low pressure located about 600 miles east of Bermuda," the hurricane center said in a 7 a.m. update Monday. "Environmental conditions are still marginally favorable for further development, and an increase in thunderstorm activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression today."

However, the hurricane center said the system would "encounter less favorable environmental conditions, ending its opportunity for development" by Tuesday.

"The system is forecast to move northeastward around 10 mph, remaining over the open central Atlantic," forecasters said.

As for the rest of the Atlantic basin, the hurricane center does not expect any new tropical cyclone development this week.

Speaking of hurricanes, now's the time to make an emergency plan for hurricane season, and the Houston Chronicle is here to help. We launched a texting service for this hurricane season. Sign up to get tips on how to prepare for a storm. Plus, we'll send you updates whenever a storm approaches. Sign up here or text HURRICANES to (713) 804-8129. We'll help make sure you're ready.

Roberto Villalpando, Texas Weather Science Editor

roberto.villalpando@houstonchronicle.com

Justin's Five Day Fit Check

Photo by: Ken Ellis

This week's weather will include the return of widespread storms, with Tuesday and Wednesday looking like the two most unsettled days of the week. After a weekend of hit-or-miss downpours, especially heavy rainfall could lead to brief minor street flooding. However, the potential for more significant flooding seems to be low. We shouldn't see severe weather with hail and damaging winds, but a gusty storm or two remains possible.

Ask a Meteorologist

I've prepared my family for hurricane season, but how should I prepare my pet?

Preparing pets for hurricane season is essential for Texas Gulf Coast residents, especially in the aftermath of storms like Hurricane Beryl, which displaced some animals, leaving pets stranded in extreme heat.

You can start by confirming that their vaccinations and medications are up to date. If your pet is microchipped, verify that your contact information is current in the registry. The Houston Humane Society is offering discounted services through June that include vaccination and microchipping.

Prepare a pet emergency kit with at least a week's worth of food, water, medications, waste supplies and comfort items. Leashes, crates and recent photos of your pet can make a big difference if you become separated.

Have an evacuation plan. Know whether your destination is pet-friendly, and identify backup pet shelters such as boarding facilities or vet clinics. Consider the logistics of safely traveling with your pet, especially if you have multiple animals. Create a backup plan in case you have to hunker down and ride the storm out if you aren't ordered to evacuate.

You can keep up with developments in the hurricane season by following Houston Chronicle forecasts.

Do you have a Houston weather or climate question? If so, you can submit your weather questions to justin.ballard@houstonchronicle.com. They may just end up in a future edition of the weather newsletter.

Something to see

This weather satellite photo taken last Tuesday shows Hurricane Erick approaching the southern Pacific coast of Mexico. Erick had become as strong as a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 145 mph, but Erick made landfall as a Category 3. Erick was the earliest major hurricane on record to make landfall on Mexico's Pacific coast.

Photo by: GOES, CSU/CIRA And NOAA

This weather satellite photo taken last Tuesday shows Hurricane Erick approaching the southern Pacific coast of Mexico. The storm had become as strong as a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 145 mph, but ultimately made landfall as a Category 3 on June 19. Erick made history as the earliest major hurricane on record to make landfall on Mexico's Pacific coast.

Texas Weather Wonks Trivia

Houston is looking less likely to hit 100 degrees before July, but June has produced plenty of triple-digit temperatures in the past 25 years. The city recorded its highest June temperature on June 29, 2013. How hot did it get?

A) 101 degrees

B) 103 degrees

C) 105 degrees

D) 107 degrees

Hit reply to this email to let us know what your guess is and a chance to win. We'll let you know who answered correctly first in next week's newsletter.

Here's the correct answer to last week's trivia question: Thanks to Tropical Storm Allison in 2001, Houston recorded its rainiest June ever. How many inches of rain fell that month? It's C) 19.21 inches.

Events at the Chronicle

Promotional image for live virtual event on hurricane season

Photo by: Houston Chronicle Staff / National Oceanic And Atmospheric Administration

EVENT: How the rest of hurricane season looks for Houston — and how to prepare

What does the data say about the upcoming hurricane season? Readers are invited to a private Zoom with newsroom meteorologist Justin Ballard and expert guests.

Other weather news

This image shows where tropical development has historically formed between June 21 and June 30. Development tends to occur in the Gulf of Mexico and in the Atlantic off coast of the U.S. Southeast.

Photo by: National Hurricane Center

The 713 Weather Radar newsletter is written and produced by meteorologist Justin Ballard and Texas Weather Science Editor Roberto Villalpando. You can reach out to them at justin.ballard@houstonchronicle.com and roberto.villalpando@houstonchronicle.com or by replying directly to this email.